Adelaide needs to win at least three of its last five games to play in the finals.

The Crows are one of four teams now sitting outside the top eight still chasing a top eight spot, with 50 premiership points looming as the cut-off point.

But banking 50 points may not guarantee a top eight finish, with percentage possibly the decider.

Eight of the nine games in Round 19 will influence the finals race.

The run home

1. Fremantle

60 points (15 wins, two losses) 127.1 per cent

Seems assured of a top two finish, with a three-game gap on third-placed Hawthorn.

Rd 19: St Kilda at Etihad Stadium
Rd 20: West Coast at Domain Stadium
Rd 21: North Melbourne at Etihad Stadium
Rd 22: Melbourne at Domain Stadium
Rd 23: Port Adelaide at Adelaide Oval 

2. West Coast

54 points (13 wins, three losses, one draw) 154.40 per cent

For the Eagles to hold second spot, they need to keep winning starting with this round’s home game against third-placed Hawthorn. The following week they remain in Perth to play top side Fremantle.

Rd 19: Hawthorn at Domain Stadium
Rd 20: Fremantle at the Domain Stadium
Rd 21: Western Bulldogs at Domain Stadium
Rd 22: Adelaide at Adelaide Oval
Rd 23: St Kilda at Domain Stadium

3. Hawthorn

48 points (12 wins, five losses) 164.2 per cent 

The slow start to the season leaves Hawthorn with some more wins needs to jump into the top two. Saturday night’s clash with West Coast is huge for both sides.

Rd 19: West Coast at Domain Stadium
Rd 20: Geelong at the MCG
Rd 21: Port Adelaide at Etihad Stadium
Rd 22: Brisbane Lions at Aurora Stadium
Rd 23: Carlton at the MCG 

4. Sydney Swans

48 points (12 wins, five losses) 115.9 per cent

Still have a slim chance finishing top two but also needs to keep winning to stay in the top four.

Rd 19: Geelong at Simonds Stadium
Rd 20: Collingwood at the SCG
Rd 21: GWS at Spotless Stadium
Rd 22: St Kilda at Etihad Stadium
Rd 23: Gold Coast at the SCG 

5. Western Bulldogs

44 points (11 wins, six losses) 113.1 per cent

Will need to win four of their remaining games to be a chance of a top four finish. Probably need to win three to hold on to 5th or 6th.

Rd 19: Port Adelaide at Etihad Stadium
Rd 20: Melbourne at Etihad Stadium
Rd 21: West Coast at Domain Stadium
Rd 22: North Melbourne at Etihad Stadium
Rd 23: Brisbane Lions at the Gabba

6. Richmond

44 points (11 wins, six losses) 112.4 per cent

After the stunning win over Hawthorn on Friday night, the Tigers are still a chance for a top four finish if they can keep winning.

Rd 19: Adelaide at Adelaide Oval
Rd 20: Gold Coast at the MCG
Rd 21: Collingwood at the MCG
Rd 22: Essendon at the MCG
Rd 23: North Melbourne at Etihad Stadium 

7. North Melbourne

40 points (10 wins, seven losses) 107.2 per cent

The Kangaroos have won four straight and play Melbourne and St Kilda in the net two rounds. Tough finish to the minor round though. Still needs three wins to finish in top eight.

Rd 19: Melbourne at the MCG
Rd 20: St Kilda at Blundstone Arena
Rd 21: Fremantle at Etihad Stadium
Rd 22: Western Bulldogs at Etihad Stadium
Rd 23: Richmond at Etihad Stadium

8. Geelong

38 points (nine wins, seven losses, one no result) 102.4 per cent

Back in the top eight but has Sydney and Hawthorn in the next fortnight. Needs three wins from the last five to have a chance.

Rd 19: Sydney Swans at Simonds Stadium
Rd 20: Hawthorn at the MCG
Rd 21: St Kilda at Etihad Stadium
Rd 22: Collingwood at the MCG
Rd 23: Adelaide at Simonds Stadium

9. Adelaide

38 points (nine wins, seven losses, one no result) 102.2 per cent

Sitting just .2 of a per cent behind Geelong and will need to win at least three of their next five to make the finals.

Rd 19: Richmond at Adelaide Oval 
Rd 20: Essendon at Etihad Stadium
Rd 21: Brisbane Lions at Adelaide Oval 
Rd 22: West Coast at Adelaide Oval 
Rd 23: Geelong at Simonds Stadium

10. Greater Western Sydney

36 points (nine wins, eight losses) 100.3 per cent

The Giants will need to win at least four out of five to make the finals for the first time.

Rd 19: Essendon at Spotless Stadium
Rd 20: Port Adelaide at Adelaide Oval
Rd 21: Sydney Swans at Spotless Stadium 
Rd 22: Carlton at Spotless Stadium
Rd 23: Melbourne at Etihad Stadium

11. Collingwood

32 points (eight wins, nine losses) 111.3 per cent

After six losses in a row, it seems Collingwood have to win every remaining game to qualify for the finals.

Rd 19: Carlton at the MCG
Rd 20: Sydney Swans at the SCG
Rd 21: Richmond at the MCG
Rd 22: Geelong at the MCG
Rd 23: Essendon at the MCG 

12. Port Adelaide

32 points (eight wins, nine losses) 102.9 per cent 

With 48 premiership points unlikely to be enough to finish in the top eight, Port almost certainly need to win every game. .

Rd 19: Western Bulldogs at Etihad Stadium
Rd 20: GWS at Adelaide Oval
Rd 21: Hawthorn at Etihad Stadium
Rd 22: Gold Coast at Metricon Stadium 
Rd 23: Fremantle at Adelaide Oval 

Who's going to make it? Forecast the final eight with the 2015 ladder predictor